Global Bias-corrected Seasonal Forecast (SEAS5-BCSD) Archive 1981 To 2024 For Precipitation

Weber, Jan Niklas et al.

Dataset
Summary
[ Derived from parent entry - See data hierarchy tab ]

Seasonal forecasts provide valuable insights into upcoming conditions, offering forecast horizons of up to seven months. However, uncorrected seasonal forecasts often exhibit substantial biases and drifts, when compared to reference data like, e.g., ERA5. This makes post-processing essential for their use in analysis and downstream modelling.
This dataset provides bias-corrected and downscaled seasonal forecasts from the ECMWF SEAS5 system for precipitation and 2-meter temperature, covering the global land surface at 0.25° resolution. Using the Bias Correction and Spatial Disaggregation (BCSD) method, forecasts are corrected for biases and temporal drifts and include all SEAS5 ensemble members over the full hindcast period (1981–2016) and until 2024. The dataset supports lead times up to seven months and is suitable for a wide range of applications in water, energy, and agricultural sectors. Forecast quality has been evaluated using Brier Skill Scores and CRPSS, showing strong skill for temperature across most regions and for precipitation in tropical and humid areas.
Project
OUTLAST (Development of an operational, multisectoral, global drought hazard prediction system: Bias correction of operational global seasonal predictions)
Spatial Coverage
Longitude 0 to 360 Latitude -90 to 90
Temporal Coverage
1981-01-01 to 2025-06-30
Use constraints
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Data Catalog
World Data Center for Climate
Access constraints
registered users
Size
24.75 GiB (26577108770 Byte)
Format
NetCDF
Status
completely archived
Creation Date
Future Review Date
2035-12-22
Download Permission
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Cite as
[ Derived from parent entry - See data hierarchy tab ]
Weber, Jan Niklas; Lorenz, Christof; Schober, Tanja Christina; Kunstmann, Harald (2026). Global Bias-corrected Seasonal Forecast (SEAS5-BCSD) Archive 1981 To 2024 For Precipitation And Temperature. World Data Center for Climate (WDCC) at DKRZ. https://doi.org/10.26050/WDCC/SEAS5-BCSD

BibTeX RIS
VariableAggregationUnit
forecast_period
CF
not filledmonth
forecast_reference_time
CF
not filledday
precipitation_flux
CF
monthlymm d-1

Parent

Global Bias-corrected Seasonal Forecast (SEAS5-BCSD) Archive 1981 To 2024 For Precipitation And Temperature
Details
[Entry acronym: SEAS5-BCSD_pr] [Entry id: 5369723]