Development of an operational, multisectoral, global drought hazard prediction system: Bias correction of operational global seasonal predictions
Acronym
OUTLAST
Name
Development of an operational, multisectoral, global drought hazard prediction system: Bias correction of operational global seasonal predictions
Description
The overall objective of the OUTLAST project is to develop, in co-design with potential users, a global and operational drought forecasting system for rainfed agriculture, irrigated agriculture, water supply, and terrestrial and riverine ecosystems, and to implement it as a component of the WMO's Global Hydrological Status and Outlook System (HydroSOS). The sub-project of the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) aims at developing bias-corrected and regionally adjusted seasonal ensemble forecasts, improving their performance and making them available to the consortium for subsequent derivation of drought hazard indicators. This will be done for all land areas on Earth (except Greenland and Antarctica), optimizing indicators in co-design with users. The basis of our work is the global seasonal forecasting system SEAS5 of ECMWF. Website: https://outlast-project.net